Showing posts with label consumer confidence. Show all posts
Showing posts with label consumer confidence. Show all posts

Friday, October 29, 2010

Top 5 Economics Graphs of the Week - 30 October 2010

This week we review the Q3 GDP results from the UK and US, then look at the recent data on the US housing market and consumer confidence. Then we examine some of the monetary policy decisions announced over the week, before wrapping up with a look at the inflation and employment situation in Japan.

1. US GDP
First up is US GDP which grew 0.4% q/q (or 2.0% "annualised" vs consensus 2.0%). On a year on year basis the US economy grew 3.1% vs 3.0% in Q2. Much of the gains were in inventory investment, consumer spending, equipment investment and government spending. So overall, the result was much as expected - relatively ho-hum, showing the US economy recovering - but at a subdued and muddled pace. So of course it's not plain sailing yet, a lot of the damage done during the financial crisis needs to be repaired, and a lot of the excesses need to be unwound before a true sustainable economic recovery can take place in the US.

2. UK GDP
over in the UK the growth rate was relatively strong at 0.8% q/q, which is a little lower than the 1.2% in Q2, but still respectable and enough to disappoint those that were hoping for another round of quantitative easing from the Bank of England. On an annual basis the British economy grew 2.8%, up from 1.7% in Q2. But as with the US, the all clear can't be signaled yet, and it is too soon to rule out further monetary policy stimulus - especially as the UK government seeks to reign in its budget deficit (maybe a bit of contracting on the fiscal and expanding on the monetary). So all the more reason to watch what happens next week!

3. US Consumer Confidence and Housing
Also out in the past week was the much watched Case Shiller House price report for August, which came in weaker on a monthly basis and slowed its increase on a yearly basis. So a disappointing result, but not a surprising result - there's no fundamental basis to expect a strong upsurge in the US housing market (and relatively small basis for sideways movement in prices). So of course it's also unsurprising to see still subdued results in the consumer confidence numbers, albeit with a small increase to 50.2 from 48.5 in September. At the margin the result was positive in that much of the increase was driven by an increase in the future expectations index, which is sensible.

4. Monetary Policy
In monetary policy there were no major events this week, the main items of interest were Denmark, and Sweden both increasing interest rates slightly - but signaling a slow move. The other interesting part was Japan, which expanded the scope of its asset purchase program and brought forward the next meeting date (to just after the Fed's meeting next week). On that note, the next week will be a very interesting week monetary policy-wise as the US FOMC, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, RBA, and ECB are all set to announce policy decisions. The main point of attention will be what the US Fed does in terms of QEII - will it go for a shock and awe campaign, or will it go for an incrementalist approach? Either way it almost seems a certainty now that the second quantitative easing campaign is about to commence.

5. Japan Inflation and Unemployment
In Japan, deflation remained persistent with the CPI falling -1.1% vs -1.0% in August, but the jobless rate slipped slightly to 5.0% vs 5.1% in August on the back of increasing payrolls. As pointed out, the Bank of Japan expanded the scope of its asset purchase program to include lower graded corporate bonds in effort to try and stimulate the economy and try and inject a semblance of inflation. Most remarkably though was the move to hold another meeting next week just after the Fed, which signals that the BOJ is ready to act if the US makes moves to devalue the US dollar. This would not be surprising as the Japanese economy is traditionally an export led economy, and with recent trade results faltering somewhat it may make for an interesting week indeed.

Summary

So we saw the US with relatively subdued growth in Q3, but growth nonetheless. But without showing major signs of strength has all but pave the way for a second campaign of quantitative easing by the US. Meanwhile the UK grew a little faster, and perhaps even blew the case for an extension of the asset purchase program by the Bank of England. We also saw a weakening US housing market and a US consumer stuck in limbo. On the monetary policy front most held, a couple increased, but the real monetary policy action will come next week. In Japan deflation remained, jobless declined slightly, and the BoJ lined itself up to counter any possible dollar devaluing determinations from the Fed next week.

Sources:
1. Bureau of Economic Analysis www.bea.gov
2. UK National Statistics www.statistics.gov.uk
3. Conference Board www.conference-board.org & Standard & Poors www.standardandpoors.com
4. CentralBankNews.info www.centralbanknews.info
5. Trading Economics www.tradingeconomics.com


Article Source: http://www.econgrapher.com/top5graphs-30oct.html

Sunday, August 8, 2010

Econ Grapher - Economic Calendar - 9 August 2010

Here's the Economic Calendar for the week commencing the 9th of August 2010. This week China takes the spotlight with its monthly data dump; there's new loans, money supply, trade balance, CPI, fixed asset investment, industrial production, PPI, and retail sales. Then on the monetary policy front there's Japan, and the US who both meet to review policy this week. The EU is set to announce its second quarter GDP results this week, and from the US will be CPI, UoM & ABC confidence numbers, and the trade balance. Elsewhere there's employment numbers from Australia, consumer confidence from Japan, and house prices in New Zealand.

(More commentary follows the table)

Day Time (GMT) Code Event/Release Forecast Previous
MON
CNY New Loans 600B 603B
MON
CNY M2 Money Supply y/y 18.6% 18.5%
MON 04:00 JPY Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting (AUG 9)

MON 06:00 EUR German Trade Balance (euros) (JUN) 12.0B 9.7B
MON 22:45 NZD NZ Card Spending (MoM) (JUL)
0.4
MON 23:50 JPY Housing Loans (YoY) (2Q)
1.0%
TUE
CNY Trade Balance 19.6B 20.0B
TUE 04:00 JPY Bank of Japan Rate Decision (AUG 10) 0.10% 0.10%
TUE 06:45 EUR French Industrial Production (YoY) (JUN) 7.3% 8.2%
TUE 11:30 USD NFIB Small Business Optimism (JUL)
89
TUE 18:15 USD Federal Open Market Committee Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25%
TUE 21:00 USD ABC Consumer Confidence (AUG)

TUE 22:00 CNY CPI y/y 3.3% 2.9%
TUE 22:00 CNY Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y 25.4% 25.5%
TUE 22:00 CNY Industrial Production y/y 13.5% 13.7%
TUE 22:00 CNY PPI y/y 6.1% 6.4%
TUE 22:00 CNY Retail Sales y/y 18.6% 18.3%
TUE 00:30 AUD Westpac Consumer Confidence Index (AUG)
113.1
TUE 00:30 AUD Westpac Consumer Confidence (AUG)
11.1%
WED 09:30 GBP Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report

WED 12:30 USD Trade Balance (JUN) -$42.2B -$42.3B
WED 18:00 USD Monthly Budget Statement (JUL) -$165.0B -$180.7B
WED 22:30 NZD Business NZ Performance of Manufacturing Index
56.2
WED 01:30 AUD Employment Change (JUL) 20.0K 45.9K
WED 01:30 AUD Unemployment Rate (JUL)
5.1%
THU 04:30 JPY Industrial Production (MoM) (JUN F)
-1.5%
THU 05:00 JPY Consumer Confidence (JUL) 43.9 43.6
THU 05:00 JPY Consumer Confidence Households (JUL) 43.9 43.5
THU 08:00 EUR ECB Publishes Monthly Report (AUG)

THU 09:00 EUR Italian Trade Balance (Total) (euros) (JUN)
-1957
THU 09:00 EUR Euro-Zone Industrial Production w.d.a. (YoY) 9.3% 9.4%
THU 22:00 NZD REINZ Housing Price Index MoM% (JUL)
0.6%
THU 22:00 NZD REINZ Housing Price Index (JUL)
3230.6
THU 22:45 NZD Retail Sales (MoM) (JUN) 0.5% 0.4%
FRI 09:00 EUR Euro-Zone Trade Balance (euros) (JUN)
-3.4B
FRI 09:00 EUR Euro-Zone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ)
0.2%
FRI 09:00 EUR Euro-Zone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY)
0.6%
FRI 12:30 USD Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (YoY)
0.9%
FRI 12:30 USD Consumer Price Index (YoY) (JUL)
1.1%
FRI 12:30 USD Advance Retail Sales (JUL)
-0.5%
FRI 12:30 USD Retail Sales Less Autos (JUL)
-0.1%
FRI 12:30 USD Retail Sales Ex Auto & Gas (JUL)
0.1%
FRI 13:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence (AUG P)
67.8

Starting with the economy of the week, China will be reporting it's major data points this week for July. The first batch will likely be the data from the PBOC which includes lending data (which by the way will likely be fairly static around 600B as the regulators crack down on excessive lending), and money supply data, then there's the trade data from the customs department, which is likely to be unchanged, but as always - I'm keeping a close eye on the export/import levels as a kind of proxy for international trade volumes and as a bit of a gauge for global activity - i.e. if there's another major slump it will show up in Chinese exports. Then there's the data from the National Bureau of Statistics; inflation is likely to pick up a bit, and industrial production will likely follow the course suggested by the PMI readings i.e. down; the rest will likely be fairly standard.

Now, onto the monetary policy reviews; Japan is likely to be fairly ho-hum, to be sure - likely not to see any changes in the i-rate for quite a while; the only thing to watch for would be any additional stimulus measures e.g. the lending program they previously announced. The US is likely to be a similar story, but the rumors are increasing... or more likely the speculation is increasing that the Fed may implement additional stimulus measures to cement the recovery and counter any possibility of a double-dip recession (which remains a real risk).

Keeping with the US, there's also the other consumer confidence indicators from there; the ABC index, and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, the trade balance (which is expected to stay around negative 42B), the consumer price index (which is likely to show inflation around 1%), the monthly budget statement, and of course retail sales on Friday. The data points will add to the picture for the US economy, which is looking increasingly mixed - albeit weighted to the downside.

Elsewhere in the world there's the second quarter GDP figures from the EU, which will attract considerable interest given the recent financial system and sovereign debt concerns raised around there. Aside from the US, the other economies reporting confidence are Japan; which is expected to rise slightly, and Australia, which will likely be about sideways as the election draws near. The Aussies have also got their employment numbers out this week, which are likely to show continued jobs growth; likely better than New Zealand's results - who is set to release July house price data on Thursday.

So as always, have a great week, watch out for surprises, and stay tuned for updates...

Sources
DailyFX www.dailyfx.com/calendar
Forex Pros www.forexpros.com/economic-calendar/
Forex Factory www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php
Bloomberg www.bloomberg.com
+various statistics websites and central bank websites for verification


Article Source: http://www.econgrapher.com/9aug-calendar.html

Sunday, July 11, 2010

Economic Calendar - 12 July 2010

Here's the Economic Calendar for the week commencing the 12th of July 2010. This week there's inflation figures due out from China, US, UK, EU, and New Zealand. China is also set to release its Q2 GDP figures this week, as well as fixed asset investment, retail sales, PPI, and industrial production. The EU, Japan, and US are also set to release their latest industrial production figures this week. There's also more confidence numbers from the US, Australia, Japan, and the Euro Zone.

(More commentary follows the table)

Day Time (GMT) Code Event/Release Forecast Previous
MON 1:30 AUD Home Loans (MAY) 0.0% -1.8%
MON 1:30 AUD Investment Lending (MAY)
1.3%
MON 8:30 GBP Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (1Q F) 0.3% 0.4%
MON 8:30 GBP Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (1Q F) -0.2% -3.1%
MON 14:30 CAD Business Outlook Future Sales (2Q)
44
TUE 1:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence (JUN)
5
TUE 4:30 JPY Industrial Production (YoY) (MAY F)
20.2%
TUE 5:00 JPY Consumer Confidence (JUN)
42.7
TUE 7:15 CHF Producer & Import Prices (YoY) (JUN)
1.4%
TUE 8:30 GBP Consumer Price Index (YoY) (JUN) 3.1% 3.4%
TUE 8:30 GBP Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) (JUN) 2.8% 2.9%
TUE 9:00 EUR German ZEW Survey (Economic Sentiment) (JUL) 25.3 28.7
TUE 9:00 EUR Euro-Zone ZEW Survey (Economic Sentiment) (JUL) 16.3 18.8
TUE 12:30 CAD International Merchandise Trade (Canadian dollar) (MAY)
0.2B
TUE 12:30 USD Trade Balance (MAY) -$39.0B -$40.3B
TUE 22:00 NZD REINZ House Sales (YoY) (JUN)
-17.2%
TUE 22:00 NZD REINZ Housing Price Index (MoM) (JUN)
-1.4%
TUE 22:45 NZD Retail Sales Ex-Auto (MoM) (MAY) 0.6% -0.2%
TUE 23:01 GBP Nationwide Consumer Confidence (JUN) 62 65
WED 0:30 AUD Westpac Consumer Confidence Index (JUL)
101.9
WED 8:30 GBP Jobless Claims Change (JUN) -20.0K -30.9K
WED 9:00 EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index (YoY) (JUN F) 1.4% 1.4%
WED 9:00 EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index - Core (YoY) (JUN) 0.9% 0.8%
WED 9:00 EUR Euro-Zone Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) (MAY) 1.2% 0.8%
WED 12:30 USD Advance Retail Sales (JUN) -0.2% -1.2%
WED 12:30 USD Retail Sales Less Autos (JUN) -0.1% -1.1%
WED 18:00 USD Federal Open Market Committee Meeting Minutes

WED 22:00 CNY Consumer Price Index 3.3% 3.1%
WED 22:00 CNY Gross Domestic Product 10.5% 11.9%
WED 22:00 CNY Industrial Production 15.2% 16.5%
WED 22:00 CNY Retail Sales y/y 18.8% 18.7%
WED 22:30 NZD Business NZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (JUN)
54.5
THU
JPY Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10%
THU 8:00 EUR European Central Bank Monthly Report

THU 12:30 USD Producer Price Index (YoY) (JUN) 3.1% 5.3%
THU 12:30 USD Producer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (YoY) (JUN) 1.1% 1.3%
THU 13:15 USD Industrial Production (JUN) 0.0% 1.2%
THU 14:00 USD Senate Banking Committee Holds Hearing on Fed Nominations

THU 22:45 NZD Consumer Prices Index (YoY) (2Q)
2.0%
FRI 9:00 EUR Euro-Zone Trade Balance s.a. (euros) (MAY) 0.8B 1.4B
FRI 12:30 CAD Leading Indicators (MoM) (JUN)
0.9%
FRI 12:30 USD Consumer Price Index (YoY) (JUN) 1.2% 2.0%
FRI 12:30 USD Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (YoY) (JUN) 0.9% 0.9%
FRI 13:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence (JUL P) 74 76

A major feature this week will be the monthly China data release (trade figures are already out), but this time there will also be the quarterlies, including an update on the GDP situation in China. Growth is projected to slow slightly, and inflation is projected to accelerate, while industrial projection is likely to show a decrease, and consumer spending will probably be close to unchanged. Given the concerns about a potential slowdown in the Chinese economy, this will be a closely watched release.

On the inflation front, the UK will start off the June CPI reporting, with expectations for a slight decrease in the inflation rate; next is Europe, expected to show little change in the year on year change. As noted China is expected to show a slight increase, New Zealand will also likely see an increase, but the US on the other hand will likely see a further drop-off in the inflation rate - in line with indications from the PMI figures for June.

Another feature of the week will be the updates to industrial production; first up is the final reading for May from Japan, then there's the May reading for the Euro-Zone; expected to be up slightly on a year over year basis, and the US is expected to report a slight slowdown, as is China; which is consistent with the PMI readings from both countries.

In the monetary policy sphere there's the Bank of Japan interest rate decision, US FOMC minutes, and the Senate banking committee will be holding a hearing on Fed nominations.

Also as noted, there will be further confidence updates, with Japan reporting consumer confidence, Australia reporting business and consumer confidence, the EU reporting economic sentiment, and the US with the University of Michigan Confidence indicator.

So as always, have a great week, watch out for surprises, and stay tuned for updates...

Sources
DailyFX www.dailyfx.com/calendar
Forex Pros www.forexpros.com/economic-calendar/
Forex Factory www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php
Bloomberg www.bloomberg.com
+various statistics websites and central bank websites for verification


Article Source: http://www.econgrapher.com/12jul-calendar.html

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

US Housing and Confidence Review

Markets took a dive today as the US consumer confidence numbers disappointed; showing a reading of 52.9 vs consensus 63.3, and down sharply on the May reading of a downward revised 62.7, as consumers adjusted their views slightly on the back of a still tepid jobs market.


But it's not really time to hit the panic button yet, a lot of commentators are running around saying we are on the cusp of the next great depression, but at least in terms of the consumer confidence numbers there's not really anything to worry about. It just reflects the reality that things are hard, jobs are still growing relatively slowly, the housing market is going sideways (if not down), and the priority is squarely on recovering and de-leveraging; though things may be bad they are not dire, yet.

There is a tail risk that things could get a lot worse, there is a reasonable probability that things will slow further, and then there's a pretty good chance that things will carry on just fine and that the gradual economic recovery will continue even as stimulus measures run their course (though note, a lot of the stimulus plan is still unspent). Indeed on the stimulus front, the rhetoric from Washington seems to be more for additional stimulus than fiscal austerity/responsibility.

Speaking of tail risks, the US economic Achilles heel; the housing market, showed further signs of not really doing much at all in April. The 20-city composite index was up 0.4% month on month, and 4% year on year. This is still an area of vulnerability as the potential for further defaults rise given the tough conditions (as confirmed by the confidence numbers), and slow or no income growth puts a cap on demand.

There is a non-zero probability that the US government will provide additional stimulus targeted at the housing market to put a floor under prices; especially with congressional elections in November. If not the path of the housing market will likely be dependent on lending rates staying low, and jobs growth picking up appreciably - neither of which are exceedingly likely outcomes.


So what are the key points? I have presented both a positive and a negative spin on the data; there is the reassurance - or seeing the numbers as what they really mean. But there is also the recognition that things could get worse; but that they will likely carry on business as usual; and that the gradual - yet fragile economic recovery will continue. In other words, don't panic yet, this is what a recovery from such a deep and structurally meaningful recession should look like. At least save your panic for when or if the tail risks materialize!

Sources
Econ Grapher Analytics www.econgrapher.com
Conference Board www.conference-board.org
Standard & Poors www.standardandpoors.com

Article Source: http://www.econgrapher.com/30june-ushousecon.html

Sunday, June 27, 2010

Economic Calendar - 28 June 2010

Here's the Economic Calendar for the week commencing the 28th of June 2010. The end of June confidence indicators and PMI's start to come out this week; on the confidence indicators side there's US consumer confidence, New Zealand business confidence, EU economic confidence, UK consumer confidence, and the Bloomberg financial conditions index. On the PMI side, there's the closely watched ISM manufacturing PMI in the US, and the CFLP and HSBC PMI's in China, there's also Japan's Tankan survey, and UK and EU PMIs. On the employment front there's the nonfarm payrolls update from the US (as well as an update on the housing market with the S&P Case Shiller index due out), and official unemployment rates from the EU and Japan.

(More commentary follows the table)

Day Time (GMT) Code Event/Release Forecast Previous
MON
EUR German Consumer Price Index (YoY) June 1.0% 1.2%
MON 3:00 NZD NBNZ Business Confidence (JUN)
48.2
MON 12:30 USD Personal Income (MAY) 0.5% 0.4%
MON 12:30 USD Personal Spending (MAY) 0.1% 0.0%
MON 12:30 USD Personal Consumption Expenditure Core y/y 1.2% 1.2%
MON 12:30 USD Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.32 0.29
MON 23:30 JPY Jobless Rate (MAY) 5.0% 5.1%
MON 23:50 JPY Industrial Production (MoM) (MAY P) 0.0% 1.3%
TUE 9:00 EUR Euro-Zone Economic Confidence (JUN) 98.1 98.4
TUE 9:00 EUR Euro-Zone Business Climate Indicator (JUN) 0.32 0.34
TUE 13:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 sa m/m -0.35% -0.05%
TUE 13:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 (YoY) 3.4% 2.3%
TUE 14:00 USD Consumer Confidence (JUN) 62.5 63.3
TUE 23:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Survey (JUN) -19 -18
WED 5:00 JPY Housing Starts (YoY) (MAY) 5.0% 0.6%
WED 6:00 GBP Nationwide House Prices n.s.a. (YoY) (JUN) 9.0% 9.8%
WED 7:55 EUR German Unemployment Rate s.a. (JUN) 7.7% 7.7%
WED 8:30 GBP Current Account (Pounds) (1Q) -4.5B -1.7B
WED 8:30 GBP GDP y/y Q1 Final -0.2% -0.2%
WED 9:00 EUR Euro-Zone CPI Estimate (YoY) (JUN) 1.5% 1.6%
WED 12:15 USD ADP Employment Change (JUN) 60K 55K
WED 12:30 CAD Gross Domestic Product (MoM) (APR) 0.1% 0.6%
WED 20:15 USD Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index
-1.0
WED 21:00 CNY CFLP Manufacturing PMI 53.2 53.9
WED 22:30 CNY HSBC Manufacturing PMI
52.7
WED 23:50 JPY Tankan Large Manufacturers Outlook (2Q) 1 -8
WED 23:50 JPY Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook (2Q) -3 -10
WED 23:50 JPY Tankan Large All Industry Capex (2Q) 5.0% -0.4%
THU 1:30 AUD Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) (MAY) 0.3% 0.6%
THU 1:30 AUD Building Approvals (MoM) (MAY) 0.0% -14.8%
THU 3:00 NZD ANZ Commodity Price (JUN)
2.5%
THU 6:00 EUR German Retail Sales (MoM) (MAY) 0.4% 1.0%
THU 8:00 EUR Euro-Zone PMI Manufacturing (JUN F) 55.6 55.6
THU 8:30 GBP PMI Manufacturing (JUN) 57.6 58.0
THU 14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing (JUN) 59.0 59.7
THU 14:00 USD ISM Prices Paid (JUN) 72.0 77.5
THU 14:00 USD Pending Home Sales (MoM) (MAY) -15.2% 6.0%
THU 14:00 USD Construction Spending (MoM) (MAY) -0.6% 2.7%
THU 23:50 JPY Monetary Base (YoY) (JUN)
3.7%
FRI 9:00 EUR Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate (MAY) 10.1% 10.1%
FRI 12:30 USD Change in Non-Farm Payrolls (JUN) -110K 431K
FRI 12:30 USD Unemployment Rate (JUN) 9.8% 9.7%
FRI 12:30 USD Change in Private Payrolls (JUN) 113K 41K
FRI 12:30 USD Average Hourly Earning (YoY) (JUN) 2.0% 1.9%
FRI 14:00 USD Factory Orders (MAY) -0.5% 1.2%

As noted we start July with some of the high frequency data, one of the key ones being the confidence indicators. First up is New Zealand business confidence, which will be interesting to see given the lukewarm GDP results reported for Q1 last week. Then there's EU economic confidence and the business climate indicator; both expected to cool slightly for June. Then on Tuesday, there's the US conference board Consumer Confidence index, which is expected to ease slightly. The UK GfK consumer confidence survey is also expected to drop slightly for June. So on the confidence front there's not much confidence in confidence it seems...

The other key high frequency economic indicator is the PMI or Purchasing Manager's Index. The influential ISM manufacturing PMI in the US will provide some useful clues as to the direction and current state of the US economic recovery; expectations are for a slight weakening; but as always the components will be the interesting bit. Of course the other key release will be from China, with both the CFLP and HSBC indexes released around Wednesday; these will provide a timely update on the direction of China's industrial economic growth engine - which has showed some signs of easing off. And the other one of the top 3 economies is Japan's Tankan survey of business conditions, with expectations for improvements, as the Japanese economy benefits from a gradual rebound in international trade.

On the employment front, US nonfarm payrolls are due out on Friday, with the consensus being at the moment for another 113k jobs added in June (with 41k added in May). The employment situation in the US is getting increasing attention as economists, strategists, investors, and consumers alike attempt to assess how the US economic recovery will unfold; the employment situation, and closely related; the housing situation (note the S&P Case Shiller house price index is also out this week), are critical to not only the probability of a recovery in consumer spending, but also the pace and effectiveness of consumer deleveraging and wealth rebuilding.

So as always, have a great week, watch out for surprises, stay tuned for updates...

Sources
DailyFX www.dailyfx.com/calendar
Forex Pros www.forexpros.com/economic-calendar/
Forex Factory www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php
Bloomberg www.bloomberg.com
+various statistics websites and central bank websites for verification


Article Source: http://www.econgrapher.com/28june-calendar.html