Showing posts with label ECB. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ECB. Show all posts

Saturday, November 27, 2010

Economic Calendar - 28 November 2010

Here's the Economic Calendar for the week commencing the 28th of November 2010. This week December starts! So the PMI data will start flowing with releases expected from China, Japan, the US, and the EU, among others. There's also some more GDP data out this week with Australia, Canada, and Switzerland announcing their Q3 results. In the US there's the S&P/Case-Shiller house price index, consumer confidence, nonfarm payrolls, and the Beige Book from the Fed.

(More commentary follows the table)

Day GMT Country/
Currency
Event Forecast Previous
SUN 21:45 NZD Trade Balance [New Zealand dollars] [OCT] -400M -532M
SUN 21:45 NZD Exports [New Zealand dollars] [OCT] 3.31B 3.16B
SUN 21:45 NZD Imports [New Zealand dollars] [OCT] 3.78B 3.69B
SUN 23:50 JPY Retail Trade [YoY] [OCT] 0.70% 1.40%
SUN 02:00 NZD NBNZ Business Confidence [NOV]
23.70
MON 10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Business Climate Indicator [NOV] 1.05 0.98
MON 10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence [NOV F] -10.00 -10.00
MON 10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Economic Confidence [NOV] 105.00 104.10
MON 10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Industrial Confidence [NOV] 2.00 0.00
MON 10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Services Confidence [NOV] 9.00 8.00
MON 13:30 CAD Current Account [BoP] [Canadian dollar] [3Q] -$15.2B -$11.0B
MON 23:30 JPY Jobless Rate [OCT] 5.00% 5.00%
MON 23:50 JPY Industrial Production [MoM] [OCT P] -3.20% -1.60%
MON 23:50 JPY Industrial Production [YoY] [OCT P] 3.10% 11.50%
MON 00:30 AUD Current Account Balance [Australian Dollar] [3Q] -6600M -5640M
TUE 05:00 JPY Housing Starts [YoY] [OCT] 9.70% 17.70%
TUE 05:00 JPY Annualized Housing Starts [OCT] 0.840M 0.837M
TUE 05:00 JPY Nomura/JMMA Manufacturing PMI [NOV]
47.20
TUE 08:55 EUR German Unemployment Change [NOV] -20K -3K
TUE 10:00 EUR Euro-Zone CPI Estimate [YoY] [NOV] 1.90% 1.90%
TUE 10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate [OCT] 10.10% 10.10%
TUE 11:00 EUR Italian Unemployment Rate s.a. [OCT] 8.40% 8.30%
TUE 13:30 CAD Gross Domestic Product [MoM] [SEP] [SEP] 0.10% 0.30%
TUE 13:30 CAD Quarterly GDP Annualized [3Q] 1.50% 2.00%
TUE 14:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 [YoY] [SEP] 1.00% 1.70%
TUE 14:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller US Home Price Index [YoY]
3.60%
TUE 14:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller 20 City [MoM] s.a. [SEP] -0.40% -0.28%
TUE 15:00 USD Consumer Confidence [NOV] 52.70 50.20
TUE 00:30 AUD Gross Domestic Product [QoQ] [3Q] 0.50% 1.20%
TUE 00:30 AUD Gross Domestic Product [YoY] [3Q] 3.40% 3.30%
TUE 01:00 CNY PMI Manufacturing [NOV] 54.80 54.70
TUE 02:00 NZD ANZ Commodity Price [NOV]
2.90%
TUE 02:30 CNY HSBC Manufacturing PMI [NOV] 55.40 54.80
WED 07:00 GBP Nationwide House Prices n.s.a. [YoY] [NOV]
1.40%
WED 07:00 GBP Nationwide House Prices s.a. [MoM] [NOV] -0.40% -0.70%
WED 08:45 EUR Italian PMI Manufacturing [NOV] 53.10 53.00
WED 08:50 EUR French PMI Manufacturing [NOV F] 57.50 57.50
WED 08:55 EUR German PMI Manufacturing [NOV F] 58.90 58.90
WED 09:00 EUR Euro-Zone PMI Manufacturing [NOV F] 55.50 55.50
WED 09:30 GBP Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing [NOV] 54.70 54.90
WED 13:30 USD Non-Farm Productivity [3Q] F 2.30% 1.90%
WED 13:30 USD Unit Labor Costs [3Q F] [3Q] F -0.20% -0.10%
WED 15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing [NOV] 56.50 56.90
WED 15:00 USD Construction Spending [MoM] [OCT] -0.40% 0.50%
WED 19:00 USD Fed's Beige Book [DEC]

WED 00:30 AUD Trade Balance [Australian dollar] [OCT] 2000M 1760M
WED 00:30 AUD Retail Sales s.a. [MoM] [OCT] 0.40% 0.30%
THU 06:45 CHF Gross Domestic Product [YoY] [3Q] 3.10% 3.40%
THU 06:45 CHF Gross Domestic Product [QoQ] [3Q] 0.50% 0.90%
THU 08:15 CHF Retail Sales [Real] [YoY] [OCT]
4.10%
THU 09:30 GBP Purchasing Manager Index Construction [NOV] 51.30 51.60
THU 10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Gross Domestic Product [QoQ] [3Q] 0.40% 0.40%
THU 10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Gross Domestic Product [YoY] [3Q] 1.90% 1.90%
THU 10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Producer Price Index [MoM] [OCT] 0.30% 0.30%
THU 10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Producer Price Index [YoY] [OCT] 4.30% 4.20%
THU 12:45 EUR European Central Bank Rate Decision [DEC] 1.00% 1.00%
THU 15:00 USD Pending Home Sales [MoM] [OCT] -1.00% -1.80%
THU 15:00 USD Pending Home Sales [YoY] [OCT]
-24.90%
THU 01:00 CNY China Non-manufacturing PMI [NOV]
60.50
THU 02:30 CNY China HSBC Services PMI [NOV]
56.40
FRI 05:00 EUR German Retail Sales [MoM] [OCT] 1.20% -1.70%
FRI 05:00 EUR German Retail Sales [YoY] [OCT] 1.30% 0.40%
FRI 08:15 CHF Consumer Price Index [MoM] [NOV] 0.10% 0.50%
FRI 08:15 CHF Consumer Price Index [YoY] [NOV] 0.10% 0.20%
FRI 09:00 EUR Euro-Zone PMI Composite [NOV F] 55.40 55.40
FRI 09:00 EUR Euro-Zone PMI Services [NOV F] 55.20 55.20
FRI 10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Retail Sales [MoM] [OCT] 0.20% -0.20%
FRI 10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Retail Sales [YoY] [OCT] 1.00% 1.30%
FRI 12:00 CAD Net Change in Employment [NOV] 20.0K 3.0K
FRI 12:00 CAD Unemployment Rate [NOV] 7.90% 7.90%
FRI 13:30 USD Change in Private Payrolls [NOV] 153K 159K
FRI 13:30 USD Change in Non-farm Payrolls [NOV] 142K 151K
FRI 13:30 USD Unemployment Rate [NOV] 9.60% 9.60%
FRI 15:00 USD ISM Non-Manufacutring Composite [NOV] 54.70 54.30
FRI 15:00 USD Factory Orders [OCT] -1.00% 2.10%

As noted it will be a big week for PMI (Purchasing Manager's Index) data releases. As can be seen in the table, results are due from the US, China, Japan, and throughout the EU. The results will provide a timely update, especially for the China and US results. I will be watching these two in particular very closely and will put out updates throughout the week. Consensus forecasts are picking a bit of an increase in China, and flat in the US, watch this space.

Australia will announce its 3rd quarter GDP result on Tuesday, with consensus picking slightly slower quarterly growth, and stronger year on year growth. Canada will also provide an update on its GDP results as will Switzerland and the wider EU. The EU is not expected to make an large revisions to its Q3 GDP results, but it will be worth a look, particularly on a country-by-country basis.

On the monetary policy front the European Central Bank meets on Thursday, and as usual the rate likely wont be moving, but it will be interesting to see what the ECB says given the rumblings in the EU sovereigns markets. As noted, the US Fed also releases the Beige book economic report this week, which will be interesting in light of the Fed's recent launch of QEII. Elsewhere in the world, Pakistan reviews rates on Monday, Thailand on Wednesday, and Indonesia on Friday; expecting only changes from Pakistan.

Apart from PMI, GDP, and monetary policy, some of the other interest data points out this week include: Japan industrial production (expected to slow), EU CPI and unemployment rate (expect little change), S&P Case-Shiller house price index (expect a monthly decline in Sep), US consumer confidence (expect an improvement), and of course US employment data for November with nonfarm payrolls expected to expand by a similar amount as October, and no change to the unemployment rate.

So as always, have a great week, watch out for surprises, and stay tuned for updates...

Sources
DailyFX www.dailyfx.com/calendar
Forex Pros www.forexpros.com/economic-calendar/
Forex Factory www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php
Bloomberg www.bloomberg.com
+various statistics websites and central bank websites for verification


Article Source: http://www.econgrapher.com/28nov-calendar.html

Saturday, October 2, 2010

Economic Calendar - Week Starting 4 October 2010

Here's the Economic Calendar for the week commencing the 4th of October 2010. This week the main events are in the monetary policy and employment space. Firs up there's Japan with its monthly monetary policy meeting, then the RBA in Australia is expected to re-commence tightening, then the ECB and Bank of England meet on Thursday. On the employment front there's data from Australia, Canada, and the US with the much watched non-farm payrolls report. Also this week, the IMF will release its World Economic Outlook forecasts and commentary on Wednesday, shortly before the IMF annual meetings kick off in the coming weekend.

(More commentary follows the table)

Day Time (GMT) Code Event/Release Forecast Previous
MON EUR 09:00 Euro-Zone Producer Price Index (YoY) (AUG) 3.7% 4.0%
MON USD 14:00 Pending Home Sales (YoY) (AUG)
-20.1%
MON USD 14:00 Factory Orders (AUG) 0.0% 0.1%
MON JPY
Bank of Japan Rate Decision (OCT 5) 0.10% 0.10%
MON AUD 00:30 Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) (AUG) 0.4% 0.7%
MON AUD 00:30 Trade Balance (Australian dollar) (AUG) 2300M 1888M
MON AUD 03:30 Reserve Bank of Australia Rate Decision 4.75% 4.50%
TUE CHF 07:15 Consumer Price Index (YoY) (SEP) 0.3% 0.3%
TUE EUR 07:55 German PMI Services (SEP F) 54.6 54.6
TUE EUR 08:00 Euro-Zone PMI Services (SEP F) 53.6 53.6
TUE EUR 08:00 Euro-Zone PMI Composite (SEP F)

TUE GBP 08:30 Purchasing Manager Index Services (SEP) 51.0 51.3
TUE EUR 09:00 Euro-Zone Retail Sales (YoY) (AUG)
1.1%
TUE USD 14:00 ISM Non-Manufacutring Composite (SEP) 52.0 51.5
TUE USD 21:00 ABC Consumer Confidence (OCT 3)
-46
WED EUR 09:00 Euro-Zone GDP s.a. (YoY) (2Q F)
1.9%
WED EUR 09:00 Euro-Zone GDP s.a. (QoQ) (2Q F) 1.0% 1.0%
WED EUR 10:00 German Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) (AUG) 1.0% -2.2%
WED USD 12:15 ADP Employment Change (SEP) 20K -10K
WED CAD 14:00 Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (SEP) 62.0 65.9
WED GBP
NIESR GDP Estimate (SEP)
0.7%
WED AUD 00:30 Employment Change (SEP) 20.0K 30.9K
WED AUD 00:30 Unemployment Rate (SEP) 5.1% 5.1%
THU GBP 08:30 Industrial Production (YoY) (AUG) 4.2% 1.9%
THU EUR 10:00 German Industrial Production (YoY) (AUG)
10.9%
THU GBP 11:00 Bank of England Rate Decision (OCT 7) 0.50% 0.50%
THU GBP 11:00 Bank of England Asset Purchase Target 200B 200B
THU EUR 11:45 European Central Bank Rate Decision (OCT) 1.00% 1.00%
THU USD 12:30 Initial Jobless Claims (OCT 2) 453K 453K
THU USD 19:00 Consumer Credit (AUG) -$3.0B -$3.6B
THU CNY 02:30 China HSBC Services PMI (SEP)
57.6
FRI EUR 06:00 German Exports s.a. (MoM) (AUG) -0.8% -1.6%
FRI EUR 06:00 German Imports s.a. (MoM) (AUG) 0.4% -2.2%
FRI GBP 08:30 Producer Price Index Input n.s.a. (YoY) (SEP) 8.6% 8.1%
FRI GBP 08:30 PPI Output Core n.s.a. (YoY) (SEP) 4.3% 4.6%
FRI CAD 11:00 Net Change in Employment (SEP) 10.0K 35.8K
FRI CAD 11:00 Unemployment Rate (SEP) 8.0% 8.1%
FRI USD 12:30 Change in Non-farm Payrolls (SEP) 5K -54K
FRI USD 12:30 Average Hourly Earning All Employees (MoM) 0.2% 0.3%
FRI USD 12:30 Change in Private Payrolls (SEP) 82K 67K
FRI USD 12:30 Unemployment Rate (SEP) 9.7% 9.6%
FRI USD 12:30 Average Weekly Hours All Employees (SEP) 34.2 34.2

All
IMF Meetings

Starting off with the monetary policy events, the Bank of Japan of course wont touch interest rates, if anything they might look to do additional stimulus to get the economy moving and attack the persistent deflation problem - it will also be interesting to see what they say about the yentervention . The Reserve Bank of Australia will also come firmly into the spotlight as the consensus is growing toward seeing another interest rate increase... remember this time last year it kicked off the tightening cycle - dejavu anyone? The ECB probably wont do much, but it always puts out some insightful commentary, and the Bank of England could well release more stimulus - in preference of addressing the economic growth risks vs the inflation risks.

On the jobs front, Australia is up first, and is expected to show jobs growth around 20k vs 30.9k in August, as the lucky country's economy goes from strength to strength on the back of a strong resources sector that is likely to only grow in strength (as long as commodity prices stay right... and the Aussie dollar for that matter). In Canada it's a similar story, the resources sector is going strong and jobs growth is expected to come in at 10k vs 35.8k in August. Meanwhile in the US, consensus is for about 5k on the headline payrolls figure vs -54k in Aug, while the private payrolls number is expected to be about 82k vs 67k in Aug... still nothing to write home about in the context of the net negative jobs growth over the past decade.

Elsewhere there's a few data points out on Germany this week including the PMI numbers, factory orders (expected to increase), industrial production, and exports and imports data. There's also producer price index info from the EU and UK. Also among the remaining PMI data to be released this week for September, there's the US non-manufacturing composite, and the China HSBC services PMI; both of which will be critical data points to be across in terms of monitoring the two largest economies. In the US there's also consumer credit data due out for August, as well as pending home sales and the ABC consumer confidence index.

Another interesting feature of this week will be the IMF (International Monetary Fund), with the respected World Economic Outlook due to be released on Wednesday, and the IMF annual meetings in the coming weekend. While its unlikely to be too much more than a talk-fest, it will be worth monitoring what they have to say.

So as always, have a great week, watch out for surprises, and stay tuned for updates...

Sources
DailyFX www.dailyfx.com/calendar
Forex Pros www.forexpros.com/economic-calendar/
Forex Factory www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php
Bloomberg www.bloomberg.com
+various statistics websites and central bank websites for verification


Article Source: http://www.econgrapher.com/4oct-calendar.html

Sunday, August 1, 2010

Economic Calendar - 2 August 2010

Here's the Economic Calendar for the week commencing the 2nd of August 2010. This week there's US ISM PMI for July, following China's weekend release of their PMI numbers. On the monetary policy front, there's the RBA, BoE, and ECB all meeting this week to review policy settings. It's also a big employment numbers week, with the US (nonfarm payrolls), Canada, and New Zealand releasing their recent employment statistics.

(More commentary follows the table)

Day Time (GMT) Code Event/Release Forecast Previous
MON 03:00 NZD ANZ Commodity Price (JUL)
-1.2%
MON 08:30 GBP Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing (JUL)
57.5
MON 14:00 USD ISM Prices Paid (JUL)
57
MON 14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing (JUL)
56.2
MON 14:00 USD Construction Spending (MoM) (JUN)
-0.2%
TUE 01:30 AUD Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) (JUN)
0.2%
TUE 04:30 AUD Reserve Bank of Australia Rate Decision (AUG 3) 4.50% 4.50%
TUE 09:00 EUR Euro-Zone Producer Price Index (MoM) (JUN)
0.3%
TUE 09:00 EUR Euro-Zone Producer Price Index (YoY) (JUN)
3.1%
TUE 12:30 USD Personal Consumption Expenditure (YoY) (JUN)
1.3%
TUE 12:30 USD Personal Income (JUN) 0.30% 0.4%
TUE 12:30 USD Personal Spending (JUN) 0.20% 0.2%
TUE 12:30 USD Personal Consumption Expenditure (MoM) (JUN) 0.20% 0.2%
TUE 21:00 USD Domestic Vehicle Sales (JUL)
8.57M
TUE 21:00 USD Total Vehicle Sales (JUL)
11.08M
WED 01:30 AUD Trade Balance (Australian dollar) (JUN)
1645M
WED 01:30 AUD House Price Index (QoQ) (2Q)
4.8%
WED 09:00 EUR Euro-Zone Retail Sales (MoM) (JUN)
0.2%
WED 09:00 EUR Euro-Zone Retail Sales (YoY) (JUN)
0.3%
WED 14:00 USD ISM Non-Manufacutring Composite (JUL)
53.8
WED 22:45 NZD Employment Change (QoQ) (2Q)
1.0%
WED 22:45 NZD Unemployment Rate (2Q)
6.0%
THU 01:30 AUD Reserve Bank Quarterly Monetary Policy Statement

THU 11:00 GBP Bank of England Rate Decision (AUG) 0.50% 0.50%
THU 11:00 GBP Bank of England Asset Purchase Target AUG 200B 200B
THU 11:45 EUR European Central Bank Rate Decision (AUG) 1.00% 1.00%
FRI 04:00 GBP NIESR Gross Domestic Product Estimate (JUL)
0.7%
FRI 08:30 GBP Producer Price Index Input n.s.a. (YoY) (JUL)
10.7%
FRI 08:30 GBP Industrial Production (YoY) (JUN)
2.6%
FRI 08:30 GBP Producer Price Index Output n.s.a. (YoY) (JUL)
5.1%
FRI 09:00 EUR Italian Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (2QP)
0.4%
FRI 09:00 EUR Italian Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (2Q P)
0.5%
FRI 10:00 EUR German Industrial Production (YoY) (JUN)
12.4%
FRI 11:00 CAD Unemployment Rate (JUL)
7.9%
FRI 11:00 CAD Net Change in Employment (JUL)
93.2K
FRI 12:30 USD Unemployment Rate (JUL)
9.5%
FRI 12:30 USD Change in Non-farm Payrolls (JUL)
-125K
FRI 14:00 CAD Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (JUL)
58.9
FRI 19:00 USD Consumer Credit (JUN)
-$9.1B

One of the key statistics out this week will be the ISM Purchasing Manager Index for July. This will be one to watch closely for more clues on how things are tracking 1 month into the second half of this year. It will also be interest to see in the context of China just releasing their PMI number in the weekend; recording 51.2, down from 52.1, as seasonal and government factors put the brakes on activity slightly.

In monetary policy it is likely to be a boring week in spite of the three high profile central banks meeting this week. The RBA is unlikely to increase the interest rate, instead opting to wait and see. The Bank of England wont be tightening just yet (and further easing is pretty low probability). The ECB will likewise just sit on their hands, but of course the accompanying statement will be very informative as usual.

On the employment front, the much watched US nonfarm payrolls figure will also add further clues to the state of the US economy - will we see a pick up? or will further signs of a double-dip show through? Canada will also report, but is in a better position than the US. New Zealand will also release its quarterly employment report, and will likely show further improvement.

Elsewhere, statistics releases of interest this week include; US consumer credit (a good update on this sector - expect continued weakness), Aussie retail sales and EU retail sales, producer price index for the EU and UK, and Italian Q2 GDP - as well as the July estimate for the UK; there's also the US personal consumption expenditure report.

So as always, have a great week, watch out for surprises, and stay tuned for updates...

Sources
DailyFX www.dailyfx.com/calendar
Forex Pros www.forexpros.com/economic-calendar/
Forex Factory www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php
Bloomberg www.bloomberg.com
+various statistics websites and central bank websites for verification


Article Source: http://www.econgrapher.com/2aug-calendar.html